Groundhog Day Statistics

How Many Times Has the Groundhog Seen His Shadow from 1887 to 2015

Groundhog at Gobbler's Knob in Punxsutawney, PA.
Groundhog at Gobbler's Knob in Punxsutawney, PA. Alex Wong/Getty Images News/Getty Images

Every February 2, tens of thousands of people gather in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania to celebrate Groundhog Day. On this date the groundhog Punxsutawney Phil - that seer of seers and prognosticator of prognosticators - emerges from his burrow in a hollowed out tree stump at Gobbler‘s Knob. Legend has it that if he sees his shadow, the there will be six more weeks of winter. And if not, then there will be an early spring.

Phil’s forecasts are spoken in Groundhogese to a member of the "Inner Circle." This group of Puxatany notables not only translates Phil’s forecast into English, they are also responsible for the care and feeding of Phil throughout the rest of the year. This tradition is said to have started in 1887, and has grown in popularity in the years since. The groundhog‘s popularity was given an even greater boost following the release of the 1993 Bill Murray movie Groundhog Day.

The origins of Groundhog Day come from the Christian celebration of Candlemas. This day, corresponding to 40 days after Christmas, celebrates the day the infant Jesus was presented in the Jewish Temple. February 2 also marks the midpoint of the coldest temperatures in the northern hemisphere. Historically a rule of thumb stated that in order to have enough food for livestock, farmers should have half of their stored provisions remaining on Candlemas day.

Little to none of this remains in the modern day celebration of Groundhog Day. What follows is a collection of forecasts from Groundhog Days of years past, according to Punxsutawney's official Groundhog Club.



1887Saw Shadow
1888Saw Shadow
1889No Record
1890No Shadow
1891No Record
1892No Record
1893No Record
1894No Record
1895No Record
1896No Record
1897No Record
1898Saw Shadow
1899No Record
1900Saw Shadow
1901Saw Shadow
1902No Shadow
1903Saw Shadow
1904Saw Shadow
1905Saw Shadow
1906Saw Shadow
1907Saw Shadow
1908Saw Shadow
1909Saw Shadow
1910Saw Shadow
1911Saw Shadow
1912Saw Shadow
1913Saw Shadow
1914Saw Shadow
1915Saw Shadow
1916Saw Shadow
1917Saw Shadow
1918Saw Shadow
1919Saw Shadow
1920Saw Shadow
1921Saw Shadow
1922Saw Shadow
1923Saw Shadow
1924Saw Shadow
1925Saw Shadow
1926Saw Shadow
1927Saw Shadow
1928Saw Shadow
1929Saw Shadow
1930Saw Shadow
1931Saw Shadow
1932Saw Shadow
1933Saw Shadow
1934No Shadow
1935Saw Shadow
1936Saw Shadow
1937Saw Shadow
1938Saw Shadow
1939Saw Shadow
1940Saw Shadow
1941Saw Shadow
1942Partial Shadow
1943No Appearance by Groundhog
1944Saw Shadow
1945Saw Shadow
1946Saw Shadow
1947Saw Shadow
1948Saw Shadow
1949Saw Shadow
1950No Shadow
1951Saw Shadow
1952Saw Shadow
1953Saw Shadow
1954Saw Shadow
1955Saw Shadow
1956Saw Shadow
1957Saw Shadow
1958Saw Shadow
1959Saw Shadow
1960Saw Shadow
1961Saw Shadow
1962Saw Shadow
1963Saw Shadow
1964Saw Shadow
1965Saw Shadow
1966Saw Shadow
1967Saw Shadow
1968Saw Shadow
1969Saw Shadow
1970No Shadow
1971Saw Shadow
1972Saw Shadow
1973Saw Shadow
1974Saw Shadow
1975No Shadow
1976Saw Shadow
1977Saw Shadow
1978Saw Shadow
1979Saw Shadow
1980Saw Shadow
1981Saw Shadow
1982Saw Shadow
1983No Shadow
1984Saw Shadow
1985Saw Shadow
1986No Shadow
1987Saw Shadow
1988No Shadow
1989Saw Shadow
1990No Shadow
1991Saw Shadow
1992Saw Shadow
1993Saw Shadow
1994Saw Shadow
1995No Shadow
1996Saw Shadow
1997No Shadow
1998Saw Shadow
1999No Shadow
2000Saw Shadow
2001Saw Shadow
2002Saw Shadow
2003Saw Shadow
2004Saw Shadow
2005Saw Shadow
2006Saw Shadow
2007No Shadow
2008Saw Shadow
2009Saw Shadow
2010Saw Shadow
2011No Shadow
2012Saw Shadow
2013No Shadow
2014Saw Shadow
2015Saw Shadow
2016No Shadow